Canadian rents keep falling while Vancouver's rise again: who's right about housing?
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Welcome to RoundTalk. National rents are falling across Canada, but Vancouver and Toronto are climbing again. Is this the crisis easing, or a warning sign? Today we have Marcus Chen, rental market analyst; Jasmine Okafor, tenant advocate; and Robert Hillman, real-estate developer. Over to you.
Marcus, the numbers seem to contradict each other. National rents down 3.2%, but Vancouver and Toronto climbing. Where do you start?
They don't contradict each other at all. Vancouver's 0.6% uptick is the leading edge, not an exception. Big cities turn first because demand concentrates there while construction slows. The national decline is lagging data.
Jasmine, Marcus says construction slows where demand is highest. What do renters actually feel right now?
"Leading edge" — of what, exactly? Renters feel nothing. A 0.6% rise in Vancouver, on top of $2,754 average asking rent, is still pricy beyond reach. And liv.rent says unfurnished one-bedrooms are down in all nine Metro cities. Demand isn't returning. People simply gave up and left.
Robert, if rents are falling nationally but costs stay high, does a 0.6% bump in Vancouver actually signal enough demand to justify breaking ground?
No. Construction doesn't slow because demand cooled. It slows because the numbers don't pencil out. In Vancouver, land, financing and fees eat the project. A 0.6% uptick on $2,754 doesn't move my pro forma one inch.
People didn't leave — they doubled up and waited.
Doubled up and waited — that's the whole problem. Three adults in a one-bedroom isn't "pent-up demand," it's a crisis you've relabelled as a market signal. My renters in Surrey didn't wait by choice. Falling asking rents never reached them.
Key vocabulary
- uptick — a small increase or rise
- pricy — expensive; costing a lot of money
- unfurnished — without furniture or household items included
- stabilization — the process of becoming stable or steady
- crunch — a difficult shortage or squeeze of resources
Comprehension questions
- Why does Marcus Chen think Vancouver's rent increase is not a contradiction to the national decline?
- What does Jasmine Okafor say renters in Vancouver actually experience with the 0.6% rent rise?
- Why does Robert Hillman say a 0.6% rent increase is not enough reason to start construction projects in Vancouver?
- How does Jasmine Okafor challenge Marcus Chen's explanation for lower rents in some cities?
True or false?
- Marcus Chen says that national rent declines are newer data than the increases in Vancouver and Toronto. T / F
- Jasmine Okafor says that unfurnished one-bedroom rents have increased in all nine Metro cities. T / F
- Robert Hillman believes that construction slows mainly because demand for rentals has decreased. T / F
Fill the gaps
- Vancouver's 0.6% is the leading edge, not an exception.
- A 0.6% rise in Vancouver, on top of $2,754 average asking rent, is still beyond reach.
- And liv.rent says one-bedrooms are down in all nine Metro cities.
Discuss in pairs
- Do you think falling average rents in a country are good news for renters, or can they hide problems like the ones Jasmine describes? Why?
- Robert says the numbers 'don't pencil out' for builders — should governments help them, or is high housing supply more important than making construction profitable?
- If renters are doubling up in small apartments because they cannot afford larger ones, is this a temporary solution while the market improves, or a sign the market will never improve?
The whole debate, free every day Students can hear the full 6-minute episode with a synced transcript in the RoundTalk app.
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Comprehension- Because big cities turn first when demand concentrates there while construction slows, so the national decline is lagging data.
- They still cannot afford it because the average rent remains too high, around $2,754 for a one-bedroom.
- Because the costs of land, financing and fees are too high, so a small rent increase doesn't make the project financially possible.
- She argues that falling asking rents in places like Surrey did not actually help renters because they could not access those lower prices.
- True
- False
- False
- uptick
- pricy
- unfurnished
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